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12.01.2014, 10:12

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and it must try to stimulate an economic environment that will provide jobs. Wyo. in late August that sounded like he thought he could do more to stimulate the economy Investors tend to buy stocks when they expect stimulus even if there is little certainty it will be effectiveSuch thinking played out Tuesday: The Dow Jones industrial average closed at 13323 the highest level in about five years based on the assumption that the Fed will deliver on Thursday and a German court will allow Germany to participate in bailout plans considered crucial for financially stressed European countries such as SpainIn Jackson Hole Bernanke expressed concern about the long-term health of the economy because so many Americans have been unemployed or underemployed or have stopped looking for work in frustration At the same time companies have remained reluctant to hire"The stagnation of the labor market in particular is a grave concern" Bernanke said during his speech noting "enormous suffering" and a "waste of human talent" Beyond the immediate concerns Bernanke said he is worried about the long-term strain on the economy"Persistently high levels of unemployment will wreak structural damage on our economy that could last for many years" he saidBernanke clearly was referring to research showing that when people struggle to find work for a long time they start losing the skills that employers seek People eventually get discouraged and give upYou could see that in the jobs report that sent chills across economist circles FridayOnly 635 percent of the potential workforce in the US is working or looking for work the lowest participation rate in the past 30 years And the numbers have been getting worse as employers have postponed hiring amid deepening recession in Europe a slowing Chinese economy and the weakest recovery the US has seen since the DepressionIn July 637 percent of potential workers were working or looking for work In 2009 as the economy was in the midst of the financial crisis it was better than today: 646 percent In 2002 after the last recession labor force participation was 666 percent as a housing boom helped pull the economy out of its slumpAlthough layoffs have subsided recently hiring has been anemic and many people have been out of work for long stretches of time Many have accepted part-time work A broader federal government measure shows 147 percent of Americans either unemployed or underemployed in part-time workBut as people have been unemployed for long stretches many are giving up in frustrationThe fate of the long-term unemployed is anyone's guess said Gluskin Sheff economist David Rosenberg For some he said "it's off to the brother-in-law's basement if he'll take him in again"About 27 million people have given up over the last year and Rosenberg said "America has as many idle adult workers as the entire German population I think that is far more important than the unemployment rate"He calculated that unemployment would be at 84 percent instead of the recent 81 percent if people hadn't stopped lookingSome older workers who have faced the longest periods of unemployment have retired when able to collect early Social Security benefits Younger workers have stayed in school despite discouraging employment numbers for recent college graduatesThe recent unemployment rate among 20-to-24-year-olds with bachelor's degrees was 9 percent And the Economic Policy Institute found that 191 percent of recent college graduates are underemployed meaning they've settled for part-time work or jobs far below those they expected to get with a bachelor's degreesAnd since pay levels for each job build on pay from the previous job the number of underpaid or unemployed people today will have an impact on the economy for many years to comeBesides the immediate strain of a job loss a study by Pew Research Center shows that Americans lose confidence in themselves when they can't find work"Americans believe that having a secure job is by far the most important requirement for being in the middle class" said researcher Wendy Wang of the Research CenterIn a survey of American adults Pew found that after the job troubles and housing losses of the last few years 32 percent of Americans now identify themselves as lower class That compares with 25 percent in 2008Pew researchers also said these people also see their prospects dropping further About three-quarters said it's harder to get ahead now than 10 years ago and about half said hard work brings successThe Federal Reserve has been trying to spur job growth since 2008 but joblessness has remained entrenched leaving economists to question the impact of more rounds of stimulus known as quantitative easing or buying bonds to keep interest rates low and money availableYet with joblessness still high economists such as Joseph Kalish strategist for Ned Davis Research think the Fed likely will give quantitative easing another shotAlthough he said there is little the Fed can do about the biggest problems facing the economy namely Europe and a surge 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